Scanner verdict

Race #8692

#22445 wins in 136.705s.

  • Sharp field: 2 sharks, top ELO 1880.
  • #22445 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +4.88s, 3rd +8.15s, 4th +8.26s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #22445 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 4 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#22445shark
34/45 raw · elo 1880 · 136.705s
99.2% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
#24120shark
16/36 raw · elo 1700 · +4.88s
0.7% predicted
our 2nd pick
3rd
10/60 raw · elo 1578 · +8.15s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick
4th
18/60 raw · elo 1640 · +8.26s
0.2% predicted
our 3rd pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2244599.2%
#241200.7%
#51150.2%
#91040.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/8692.