Scanner verdict

Race #824

#16849 wins in 35.815s.

  • 5 proven winners in the field, top ELO 1504.
  • #16849 took it as the class of the field.
  • Margins: 2nd +1.13s, 3rd +1.50s, 4th +4.21s.
  • Upset: our favorite #15526 finished 2nd, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

800m · 5 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
9/51 raw · elo 1504 · 35.815s
31.9% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
10/51 raw · elo 1487 · +1.13s
34.5% predicted
our 1st pick
3rd
3/50 raw · elo 1403 · +1.50s
4.2% predicted
our 4th pick
4th
1/49 raw · elo 1347 · +4.21s
1.8% predicted
our 5th pick
5th
2/8 raw · elo 1479 · +6.44s
27.5% predicted
our 3rd pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#1552634.5%
#1684931.9%
#1689027.5%
#156104.2%
#159561.8%

Served by /api/v1/race/824.