Scanner verdict

Race #4986

#18373 wins in 125.661s.

  • Sharp field: 2 sharks and 1 in form, top ELO 1885.
  • #18373 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +9.02s, 3rd +19.14s, 4th +27.05s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #18373 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 6 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#18373shark
39/60 raw · elo 1885 · 125.661s
96.7% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
#213shark
19/40 raw · elo 1742 · +9.02s
2.7% predicted
our 2nd pick
3rd
#11000in form
10/60 raw · elo 1729 · +19.14s
0.1% predicted
our 5th pick
4th
13/45 raw · elo 1625 · +27.05s
0.2% predicted
our 4th pick
5th
18/60 raw · elo 1640 · +27.45s
0.3% predicted
our 3rd pick
6th
10/60 raw · elo 1578 · +34.07s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#1837396.7%
#2132.7%
#51150.3%
#13100.2%
#110000.1%
#91040.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/4986.