Scanner verdict

Race #47739

#30678 wins in 19.529s.

  • 4 proven winners in the field, top ELO 1574.
  • #30678 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +1.65s, 3rd +2.38s, 4th +2.60s.
  • Model called it: our favorite #30678 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
3/3 raw · elo 1574 · 19.529s
54.6% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
4/16 raw · elo 1532 · +1.65s
16.0% predicted
our 2nd pick
3rd
1/3 raw · elo 1533 · +2.38s
12.8% predicted
our 3rd pick
4th
0/3 raw · elo 1514 · +2.60s
6.3% predicted
our 4th pick
5th
0/9 raw · elo 1504 · +2.91s
3.6% predicted
our 6th pick
6th
0/3 raw · elo 1499 · +3.70s
5.6% predicted
our 5th pick
7th
0/24 raw · elo 1282 · +4.40s
0.4% predicted
our 8th pick
8th
2/28 raw · elo 1313 · +5.33s
0.7% predicted
our 7th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3067854.6%
#3051416.0%
#3067712.8%
#306706.3%
#306795.6%
#305813.6%
#292590.7%
#299320.4%

Served by /api/v1/race/47739.