Scanner verdict

Race #47686

#30339 wins in 21.268s.

  • 6 proven winners in the field, top ELO 1518.
  • #30339 took it.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.44s, 3rd +0.95s, 4th +1.09s.
  • Upset: our favorite #30657 finished 6th, the winner was our 4th pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
3/39 raw · elo 1478 · 21.268s
13.6% predicted
our 4th pick
2nd
1/27 raw · elo 1455 · +0.44s
7.3% predicted
our 7th pick
3rd
2/39 raw · elo 1500 · +0.95s
12.5% predicted
our 5th pick
4th
2/30 raw · elo 1518 · +1.09s
15.7% predicted
our 3rd pick
5th
4/29 raw · elo 1428 · +1.46s
17.0% predicted
our 2nd pick
6th
1/6 raw · elo 1446 · +1.76s
20.1% predicted
our 1st pick
7th
0/6 raw · elo 1449 · +1.80s
12.4% predicted
our 6th pick
8th
0/29 raw · elo 1264 · +1.82s
1.4% predicted
our 8th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3065720.1%
#3041617.0%
#3042215.7%
#3033913.6%
#3033512.5%
#3066012.4%
#304497.3%
#304201.4%

Served by /api/v1/race/47686.