Scanner verdict

Race #47682

#30516 wins in 20.904s.

  • 8 proven winners in the field, top ELO 1645.
  • #30516 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.59s, 3rd +0.73s, 4th +0.87s.
  • Upset: our favorite #30526 finished 5th, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
3/18 raw · elo 1639 · 20.904s
14.3% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
4/18 raw · elo 1612 · +0.59s
13.9% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
3/32 raw · elo 1578 · +0.73s
4.1% predicted
our 7th pick
4th
3/15 raw · elo 1548 · +0.87s
7.5% predicted
our 4th pick
5th
6/15 raw · elo 1645 · +0.92s
45.9% predicted
our 1st pick
6th
1/15 raw · elo 1599 · +1.34s
4.5% predicted
our 6th pick
7th
2/13 raw · elo 1554 · +1.92s
6.4% predicted
our 5th pick
8th
1/7 raw · elo 1502 · +2.90s
3.4% predicted
our 8th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3052645.9%
#3051614.3%
#3052213.9%
#305667.5%
#301206.4%
#305274.5%
#302824.1%
#294473.4%

Served by /api/v1/race/47682.