Scanner verdict

Race #47659

#30428 wins in 21.758s.

  • 4 proven winners in the field, top ELO 1683.
  • #30428 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.72s, 3rd +1.29s, 4th +1.71s.
  • Model called it: our favorite #30428 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 7 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
8/15 raw · elo 1683 · 21.758s
87.9% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
2/9 raw · elo 1607 · +0.72s
5.3% predicted
our 2nd pick
3rd
2/10 raw · elo 1552 · +1.29s
4.8% predicted
our 3rd pick
4th
0/11 raw · elo 1478 · +1.71s
0.7% predicted
our 4th pick
5th
1/16 raw · elo 1423 · +1.79s
0.6% predicted
our 5th pick
6th
0/13 raw · elo 1374 · +2.10s
0.3% predicted
our 7th pick
7th
0/12 raw · elo 1375 · +3.10s
0.3% predicted
our 6th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3042887.9%
#306155.3%
#264834.8%
#48700.7%
#304310.6%
#305020.3%
#305010.3%

Served by /api/v1/race/47659.