Scanner verdict

Race #47609

#30044 wins in 55.157s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark and 1 in form, top ELO 1689.
  • #30044 took it a 33% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.65s, 3rd +1.06s, 4th +5.25s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #30040 finished 5th, the winner was our 3rd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

1200m Mile · 6 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
15/45 raw · elo 1677 · 55.157s
24.7% predicted
our 3rd pick
2nd
1/44 raw · elo 1478 · +0.65s
0.2% predicted
our 4th pick
3rd
#30041in form
15/44 raw · elo 1689 · +1.06s
29.6% predicted
our 2nd pick
4th
0/43 raw · elo 1301 · +5.25s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick
5th
#30040shark
19/45 raw · elo 1635 · +5.72s
45.3% predicted
our 1st pick
6th
2/43 raw · elo 1467 · +6.15s
0.2% predicted
our 5th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3004045.3%
#3004129.6%
#3004424.7%
#300480.2%
#300460.2%
#300390.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/47609.