Scanner verdict

Race #47605

#4597 wins in 149.389s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark, top ELO 1640.
  • #4597 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +1.12s, 3rd +3.24s, 4th +15.72s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #30069 finished 3rd, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 4 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
8/16 raw · elo 1608 · 149.389s
12.6% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
0/48 raw · elo 1256 · +1.12s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick
3rd
#30069shark
24/48 raw · elo 1640 · +3.24s
87.3% predicted
our 1st pick
4th
0/16 raw · elo 1402 · +15.72s
0.1% predicted
our 3rd pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3006987.3%
#459712.6%
#136220.1%
#300710.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/47605.