Scanner verdict

Race #47597

#30491 wins in 21.531s.

  • 5 proven winners in the field, top ELO 1639.
  • #30491 took it a 41% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.70s, 3rd +1.29s, 4th +1.86s.
  • Upset: our favorite #30490 finished 4th, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
7/17 raw · elo 1578 · 21.531s
32.0% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
1/20 raw · elo 1457 · +0.70s
1.3% predicted
our 5th pick
3rd
3/18 raw · elo 1613 · +1.29s
8.7% predicted
our 3rd pick
4th
7/18 raw · elo 1639 · +1.86s
50.1% predicted
our 1st pick
5th
4/21 raw · elo 1570 · +2.43s
6.8% predicted
our 4th pick
6th
0/22 raw · elo 1374 · +2.74s
0.3% predicted
our 7th pick
7th
0/20 raw · elo 1263 · +3.51s
0.2% predicted
our 8th pick
8th
0/17 raw · elo 1402 · +4.43s
0.6% predicted
our 6th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3049050.1%
#3049132.0%
#305038.7%
#304536.8%
#304291.3%
#304300.6%
#108420.3%
#132150.2%

Served by /api/v1/race/47597.