Scanner verdict

Race #47586

#30358 wins in 20.808s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark and 2 in form, top ELO 1819.
  • #30358 took it a 39% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.87s, 3rd +1.82s, 4th +1.88s.
  • Upset: our favorite #30363 finished 2nd, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#30358in form
14/36 raw · elo 1720 · 20.808s
3.4% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
#30363shark
23/36 raw · elo 1819 · +0.87s
95.5% predicted
our 1st pick
3rd
5/39 raw · elo 1579 · +1.82s
0.1% predicted
our 4th pick
4th
#30359in form
8/36 raw · elo 1734 · +1.88s
0.9% predicted
our 3rd pick
5th
1/33 raw · elo 1366 · +2.63s
0.0% predicted
our 7th pick
6th
1/35 raw · elo 1430 · +4.47s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick
7th
5/35 raw · elo 1507 · +4.78s
0.1% predicted
our 5th pick
8th
0/33 raw · elo 1296 · +5.61s
0.0% predicted
our 8th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3036395.5%
#303583.4%
#303590.9%
#303190.1%
#303620.1%
#303610.0%
#303550.0%
#303560.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/47586.