Scanner verdict

Race #47572

#30495 wins in 20.373s.

  • Sharp field: 2 sharks, top ELO 1823.
  • #30495 took it as the field's shark.
  • Margins: 2nd +1.05s, 3rd +2.14s, 4th +2.17s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #30495 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#30495shark
19/21 raw · elo 1817 · 20.373s
77.0% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
1/21 raw · elo 1681 · +1.05s
0.1% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
#30261shark
25/45 raw · elo 1823 · +2.14s
22.9% predicted
our 2nd pick
4th
0/21 raw · elo 1370 · +2.17s
0.0% predicted
our 8th pick
5th
1/45 raw · elo 1608 · +2.18s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick
6th
0/21 raw · elo 1421 · +3.39s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick
7th
0/21 raw · elo 1442 · +3.40s
0.0% predicted
our 5th pick
8th
0/21 raw · elo 1406 · +3.49s
0.0% predicted
our 7th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3049577.0%
#3026122.9%
#304980.1%
#302620.0%
#304960.0%
#304940.0%
#304930.0%
#304970.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/47572.