Scanner verdict

Race #47461

#30555 wins in 20.357s.

  • Live field: 1 in form, top ELO 1693.
  • #30555 took it a 53% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +1.00s, 3rd +1.48s, 4th +1.66s.
  • Upset: our favorite #9563 finished 6th, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
8/15 raw · elo 1661 · 20.357s
40.9% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
#30253in form
7/27 raw · elo 1693 · +1.00s
15.0% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
4/60 raw · elo 1627 · +1.48s
1.4% predicted
our 4th pick
4th
3/48 raw · elo 1361 · +1.66s
0.2% predicted
our 7th pick
5th
2/21 raw · elo 1450 · +2.13s
0.6% predicted
our 5th pick
6th
15/39 raw · elo 1636 · +2.61s
41.5% predicted
our 1st pick
7th
0/12 raw · elo 1440 · +2.61s
0.3% predicted
our 6th pick
8th
1/48 raw · elo 1304 · +4.26s
0.1% predicted
our 8th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#956341.5%
#3055540.9%
#3025315.0%
#299831.4%
#302920.6%
#143930.3%
#301020.2%
#300980.1%

Served by /api/v1/race/47461.