Scanner verdict

Race #47412

#30570 wins in 19.799s.

  • Live field: 1 in form, top ELO 1746.
  • #30570 took it.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.30s, 3rd +0.45s, 4th +0.45s.
  • Upset: our favorite #30515 finished 3rd, the winner was our 6th pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
2/15 raw · elo 1648 · 19.799s
4.6% predicted
our 6th pick
2nd
4/39 raw · elo 1612 · +0.30s
3.2% predicted
our 7th pick
3rd
#30515in form
7/18 raw · elo 1746 · +0.45s
57.6% predicted
our 1st pick
4th
3/15 raw · elo 1671 · +0.45s
7.2% predicted
our 3rd pick
5th
3/18 raw · elo 1569 · +0.60s
2.8% predicted
our 8th pick
6th
4/18 raw · elo 1635 · +1.23s
7.0% predicted
our 4th pick
7th
5/18 raw · elo 1644 · +1.34s
12.5% predicted
our 2nd pick
8th
5/30 raw · elo 1606 · +1.78s
5.0% predicted
our 5th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3051557.6%
#3051212.5%
#305317.2%
#305187.0%
#304215.0%
#305704.6%
#303313.2%
#305102.8%

Served by /api/v1/race/47412.