Scanner verdict

Race #47387

#30166 wins in 21.284s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark, top ELO 1546.
  • #30166 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +1.95s, 3rd +3.01s, 4th +4.71s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #30166 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 4 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#30166shark
14/24 raw · elo 1546 · 21.284s
94.3% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
4/60 raw · elo 1425 · +1.95s
0.6% predicted
our 4th pick
3rd
4/12 raw · elo 1487 · +3.01s
4.2% predicted
our 2nd pick
4th
6/30 raw · elo 1356 · +4.71s
0.9% predicted
our 3rd pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3016694.3%
#256844.2%
#33110.9%
#297980.6%

Served by /api/v1/race/47387.