Scanner verdict

Race #47360

#21308 wins in 148.698s.

  • 4 proven winners in the field, top ELO 1598.
  • #21308 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +1.89s, 3rd +4.91s, 4th +6.48s.
  • Model called it: our favorite #21308 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 5 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
4/9 raw · elo 1598 · 148.698s
46.3% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
2/9 raw · elo 1543 · +1.89s
13.7% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
0/9 raw · elo 1431 · +4.91s
1.5% predicted
our 5th pick
4th
2/9 raw · elo 1480 · +6.48s
9.8% predicted
our 4th pick
5th
3/8 raw · elo 1578 · +8.36s
28.7% predicted
our 2nd pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2130846.3%
#200928.7%
#2128313.7%
#185599.8%
#198031.5%

Served by /api/v1/race/47360.