Scanner verdict

Race #47179

#30561 wins in 19.990s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark, top ELO 1720.
  • #30561 took it a 33% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +2.85s, 3rd +3.42s, 4th +3.42s.
  • Upset: our favorite #30252 finished 2nd, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
4/12 raw · elo 1621 · 19.990s
2.4% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
#30252shark
15/24 raw · elo 1720 · +2.85s
96.3% predicted
our 1st pick
3rd
0/9 raw · elo 1572 · +3.42s
0.4% predicted
our 4th pick
4th
0/25 raw · elo 1561 · +3.42s
0.2% predicted
our 6th pick
5th
1/12 raw · elo 1547 · +4.10s
0.4% predicted
our 3rd pick
6th
0/19 raw · elo 1332 · +4.22s
0.0% predicted
our 8th pick
7th
1/22 raw · elo 1480 · +4.71s
0.2% predicted
our 7th pick
8th
3/26 raw · elo 1451 · +4.75s
0.3% predicted
our 5th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3025296.3%
#305612.4%
#305630.4%
#143940.4%
#302600.3%
#302570.2%
#143400.2%
#303030.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/47179.