Scanner verdict

Race #47116

#30531 wins in 19.241s.

  • Live field: 1 in form, top ELO 1752.
  • #30531 took it a 20% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.24s, 3rd +0.35s, 4th +1.55s.
  • Upset: our favorite #30567 finished 3rd, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
3/15 raw · elo 1671 · 19.241s
7.2% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
2/15 raw · elo 1648 · +0.24s
4.6% predicted
our 6th pick
3rd
#30567in form
7/15 raw · elo 1752 · +0.35s
65.6% predicted
our 1st pick
4th
3/18 raw · elo 1569 · +1.55s
2.8% predicted
our 7th pick
5th
4/18 raw · elo 1612 · +1.63s
5.6% predicted
our 5th pick
6th
3/18 raw · elo 1639 · +1.75s
5.8% predicted
our 3rd pick
7th
4/12 raw · elo 1555 · +3.46s
5.7% predicted
our 4th pick
8th
4/21 raw · elo 1510 · +5.05s
2.5% predicted
our 8th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3056765.6%
#305317.2%
#305165.8%
#305855.7%
#305225.6%
#305704.6%
#305102.8%
#78162.5%

Served by /api/v1/race/47116.