Scanner verdict

Race #47115

#30281 wins in 19.212s.

  • Live field: 2 in form, top ELO 1746.
  • #30281 took it a 20% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.60s, 3rd +1.42s, 4th +2.24s.
  • Upset: our favorite #30515 finished 2nd, the winner was our 4th pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#30281in form
8/40 raw · elo 1701 · 19.212s
9.0% predicted
our 4th pick
2nd
#30515in form
7/18 raw · elo 1746 · +0.60s
47.9% predicted
our 1st pick
3rd
4/39 raw · elo 1612 · +1.42s
2.7% predicted
our 8th pick
4th
5/30 raw · elo 1606 · +2.24s
4.1% predicted
our 6th pick
5th
4/18 raw · elo 1635 · +2.30s
5.8% predicted
our 5th pick
6th
5/18 raw · elo 1644 · +2.51s
10.4% predicted
our 3rd pick
7th
13/39 raw · elo 1584 · +2.71s
16.4% predicted
our 2nd pick
8th
8/40 raw · elo 1575 · +5.11s
3.7% predicted
our 7th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3051547.9%
#3032916.4%
#3051210.4%
#302819.0%
#305185.8%
#304214.1%
#107153.7%
#303312.7%

Served by /api/v1/race/47115.