Scanner verdict

Race #47112

#30509 wins in 19.146s.

  • Sharp field: 3 sharks and 1 in form, top ELO 1906.
  • #30509 took it as the field's shark.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.46s, 3rd +1.34s, 4th +1.62s.
  • Upset: our favorite #30338 finished 4th, the winner was our 3rd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#30509shark
11/18 raw · elo 1746 · 19.146s
2.9% predicted
our 3rd pick
2nd
#30334shark
16/39 raw · elo 1844 · +0.46s
4.3% predicted
our 2nd pick
3rd
#30567in form
7/15 raw · elo 1752 · +1.34s
0.9% predicted
our 4th pick
4th
#30338shark
26/39 raw · elo 1906 · +1.62s
91.4% predicted
our 1st pick
5th
4/18 raw · elo 1635 · +1.68s
0.1% predicted
our 6th pick
6th
2/15 raw · elo 1648 · +1.70s
0.1% predicted
our 8th pick
7th
8/20 raw · elo 1632 · +2.37s
0.3% predicted
our 5th pick
8th
7/38 raw · elo 1562 · +2.71s
0.1% predicted
our 7th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3033891.4%
#303344.3%
#305092.9%
#305670.9%
#304480.3%
#305180.1%
#302190.1%
#305700.1%

Served by /api/v1/race/47112.