Scanner verdict

Race #47111

#30515 wins in 20.078s.

  • Sharp field: 3 sharks and 2 in form, top ELO 1906.
  • #30515 took it a 39% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.03s, 3rd +0.44s, 4th +0.56s.
  • Upset: our favorite #30338 finished 4th, the winner was our 4th pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#30515in form
7/18 raw · elo 1746 · 20.078s
0.8% predicted
our 4th pick
2nd
#30509shark
11/18 raw · elo 1746 · +0.03s
2.9% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
#30334shark
16/39 raw · elo 1844 · +0.44s
4.3% predicted
our 2nd pick
4th
#30338shark
26/39 raw · elo 1906 · +0.56s
91.3% predicted
our 1st pick
5th
#30281in form
8/40 raw · elo 1701 · +1.07s
0.1% predicted
our 7th pick
6th
8/20 raw · elo 1632 · +1.15s
0.3% predicted
our 6th pick
7th
5/30 raw · elo 1606 · +1.94s
0.1% predicted
our 8th pick
8th
13/39 raw · elo 1584 · +2.66s
0.3% predicted
our 5th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3033891.3%
#303344.3%
#305092.9%
#305150.8%
#303290.3%
#304480.3%
#302810.1%
#304210.1%

Served by /api/v1/race/47111.