Scanner verdict

Race #46928

#30097 wins in 139.832s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark, top ELO 1662.
  • #30097 took it a 23% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +5.18s, 3rd +7.33s, 4th +10.71s.
  • Upset: our favorite #23089 finished 7th, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
10/44 raw · elo 1607 · 139.832s
6.4% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
0/27 raw · elo 1480 · +5.18s
0.3% predicted
our 7th pick
3rd
5/50 raw · elo 1432 · +7.33s
0.5% predicted
our 5th pick
4th
1/43 raw · elo 1540 · +10.71s
0.4% predicted
our 6th pick
5th
0/25 raw · elo 1561 · +10.83s
0.5% predicted
our 4th pick
6th
3/26 raw · elo 1451 · +15.59s
1.0% predicted
our 3rd pick
7th
#23089shark
10/18 raw · elo 1662 · +17.89s
90.8% predicted
our 1st pick
8th
0/22 raw · elo 1282 · +27.11s
0.1% predicted
our 8th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2308990.8%
#300976.4%
#302601.0%
#302570.5%
#299800.5%
#301000.4%
#302580.3%
#143440.1%

Served by /api/v1/race/46928.