Scanner verdict

Race #46852

#30140 wins in 137.576s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark and 1 in form, top ELO 1691.
  • #30140 took it a 19% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +2.26s, 3rd +3.18s, 4th +17.57s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #30141 finished 4th, the winner was our 3rd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 4 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
9/48 raw · elo 1511 · 137.576s
1.2% predicted
our 3rd pick
2nd
#30142in form
17/52 raw · elo 1691 · +2.26s
26.2% predicted
our 2nd pick
3rd
2/48 raw · elo 1377 · +3.18s
0.1% predicted
our 4th pick
4th
#30141shark
23/49 raw · elo 1625 · +17.57s
72.5% predicted
our 1st pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3014172.5%
#3014226.2%
#301401.2%
#301390.1%

Served by /api/v1/race/46852.