Scanner verdict

Race #46684

#30570 wins in 19.289s.

  • Live field: 1 in form, top ELO 1752.
  • #30570 took it.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.27s, 3rd +1.77s, 4th +1.98s.
  • Upset: our favorite #30567 finished 2nd, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
2/15 raw · elo 1648 · 19.289s
5.8% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
#30567in form
7/15 raw · elo 1752 · +0.27s
81.4% predicted
our 1st pick
3rd
3/32 raw · elo 1578 · +1.77s
2.1% predicted
our 6th pick
4th
3/15 raw · elo 1548 · +1.98s
3.7% predicted
our 3rd pick
5th
3/17 raw · elo 1518 · +2.06s
2.8% predicted
our 4th pick
6th
1/19 raw · elo 1479 · +2.13s
0.8% predicted
our 8th pick
7th
3/15 raw · elo 1498 · +2.41s
2.3% predicted
our 5th pick
8th
1/8 raw · elo 1479 · +2.86s
1.3% predicted
our 7th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3056781.4%
#305705.8%
#305663.7%
#305172.8%
#305112.3%
#302822.1%
#302241.3%
#302260.8%

Served by /api/v1/race/46684.