Scanner verdict

Race #46678

#30416 wins in 20.348s.

  • 5 proven winners in the field, top ELO 1639.
  • #30416 took it.
  • Margins: 2nd +1.38s, 3rd +1.41s, 4th +1.84s.
  • Upset: our favorite #30516 finished 4th, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
4/29 raw · elo 1428 · 20.348s
10.2% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
2/40 raw · elo 1460 · +1.38s
5.3% predicted
our 4th pick
3rd
0/27 raw · elo 1446 · +1.41s
3.4% predicted
our 5th pick
4th
3/18 raw · elo 1639 · +1.84s
69.1% predicted
our 1st pick
5th
3/39 raw · elo 1365 · +1.98s
3.3% predicted
our 6th pick
6th
0/30 raw · elo 1236 · +3.38s
0.6% predicted
our 8th pick
7th
2/40 raw · elo 1480 · +3.49s
7.2% predicted
our 3rd pick
8th
0/29 raw · elo 1264 · +4.88s
0.8% predicted
our 7th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3051669.1%
#3041610.2%
#299347.2%
#302795.3%
#304513.4%
#303373.3%
#304200.8%
#304230.6%

Served by /api/v1/race/46678.