Scanner verdict

Race #46314

#30490 wins in 110.826s.

  • Sharp field: 2 sharks, top ELO 1639.
  • #30490 took it as the class of the field.
  • Margins: 2nd +11.01s, 3rd +12.82s, 4th +13.80s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #30068 finished 3rd, the winner was our 3rd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

2400m Route · 4 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
7/18 raw · elo 1639 · 110.826s
7.7% predicted
our 3rd pick
2nd
3/18 raw · elo 1613 · +11.01s
1.5% predicted
our 4th pick
3rd
#30068shark
25/47 raw · elo 1618 · +12.82s
74.8% predicted
our 1st pick
4th
#30401shark
15/30 raw · elo 1556 · +13.80s
16.0% predicted
our 2nd pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3006874.8%
#3040116.0%
#304907.7%
#305031.5%

Served by /api/v1/race/46314.