Scanner verdict

Race #46215

#30421 wins in 3.201s.

  • Live field: 1 in form, top ELO 1757.
  • #30421 took it a 17% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.05s, 3rd +0.09s, 4th +0.39s.
  • Upset: our favorite #30212 finished 3rd, the winner was our 4th pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

100m · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
5/30 raw · elo 1606 · 3.201s
7.4% predicted
our 4th pick
2nd
13/39 raw · elo 1584 · +0.05s
32.1% predicted
our 2nd pick
3rd
#30212in form
9/40 raw · elo 1757 · +0.09s
43.6% predicted
our 1st pick
4th
4/39 raw · elo 1612 · +0.39s
4.3% predicted
our 5th pick
5th
5/40 raw · elo 1674 · +0.45s
8.6% predicted
our 3rd pick
6th
2/39 raw · elo 1500 · +0.52s
1.1% predicted
our 7th pick
7th
2/40 raw · elo 1480 · +0.53s
0.9% predicted
our 8th pick
8th
2/39 raw · elo 1572 · +0.54s
1.9% predicted
our 6th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3021243.6%
#3032932.1%
#302218.6%
#304217.4%
#303314.3%
#302281.9%
#303351.1%
#299340.9%

Served by /api/v1/race/46215.