Scanner verdict

Race #46202

#30446 wins in 20.053s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark, top ELO 1679.
  • #30446 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +1.62s, 3rd +1.98s, 4th +2.63s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #30446 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 6 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#30446shark
9/13 raw · elo 1679 · 20.053s
79.9% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
1/28 raw · elo 1462 · +1.62s
0.3% predicted
our 4th pick
3rd
3/21 raw · elo 1609 · +1.98s
2.2% predicted
our 3rd pick
4th
0/18 raw · elo 1429 · +2.63s
0.2% predicted
our 6th pick
5th
0/16 raw · elo 1479 · +3.11s
0.3% predicted
our 5th pick
6th
9/20 raw · elo 1595 · +3.12s
17.2% predicted
our 2nd pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3044679.9%
#3039217.2%
#303912.2%
#303480.3%
#304440.3%
#304450.2%

Served by /api/v1/race/46202.