Scanner verdict

Race #46123

#30222 wins in 113.966s.

  • Sharp field: 2 sharks, top ELO 1618.
  • #30222 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +7.54s, 3rd +10.18s, 4th +11.77s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #30068 finished 4th, the winner was our 4th pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

2400m Route · 4 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
15/40 raw · elo 1545 · 113.966s
6.9% predicted
our 4th pick
2nd
16/47 raw · elo 1597 · +7.54s
11.0% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
#30401shark
15/30 raw · elo 1556 · +10.18s
14.5% predicted
our 2nd pick
4th
#30068shark
25/47 raw · elo 1618 · +11.77s
67.6% predicted
our 1st pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3006867.6%
#3040114.5%
#2717811.0%
#302226.9%

Served by /api/v1/race/46123.