Scanner verdict

Race #44971

#30212 wins in 3.017s.

  • Live field: 2 in form, top ELO 1759.
  • #30212 took it a 23% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.57s, 3rd +0.61s, 4th +0.79s.
  • Upset: our favorite #30028 finished 3rd, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

100m · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#30212in form
9/40 raw · elo 1757 · 3.017s
20.3% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
2/40 raw · elo 1563 · +0.57s
0.8% predicted
our 4th pick
3rd
#30028in form
14/39 raw · elo 1759 · +0.61s
74.3% predicted
our 1st pick
4th
0/39 raw · elo 1525 · +0.79s
0.4% predicted
our 6th pick
5th
2/40 raw · elo 1522 · +0.82s
0.6% predicted
our 5th pick
6th
7/40 raw · elo 1578 · +0.87s
3.1% predicted
our 3rd pick
7th
0/39 raw · elo 1472 · +1.19s
0.2% predicted
our 8th pick
8th
3/40 raw · elo 1391 · +1.26s
0.3% predicted
our 7th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3002874.3%
#3021220.3%
#301263.1%
#300240.8%
#302850.6%
#302080.4%
#302180.3%
#302880.2%

Served by /api/v1/race/44971.