Scanner verdict

Race #43220

#30061 wins in 2.764s.

  • Sharp field: 2 sharks, top ELO 1767.
  • #30061 took it as the field's shark.
  • Margins: 2nd +1.00s, 3rd +1.02s, 4th +1.11s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #30061 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

100m · 6 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#30061shark
15/16 raw · elo 1743 · 2.764s
69.3% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
9/40 raw · elo 1661 · +1.00s
0.6% predicted
our 5th pick
3rd
17/45 raw · elo 1684 · +1.02s
3.5% predicted
our 3rd pick
4th
10/40 raw · elo 1676 · +1.11s
0.9% predicted
our 4th pick
5th
#30036shark
21/40 raw · elo 1767 · +1.18s
25.6% predicted
our 2nd pick
6th
9/32 raw · elo 1396 · +1.48s
0.1% predicted
our 6th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#3006169.3%
#3003625.6%
#296993.5%
#300350.9%
#300660.6%
#301350.1%

Served by /api/v1/race/43220.