Scanner verdict

Race #40431

#5184 wins in 133.985s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark, top ELO 1705.
  • #5184 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +16.45s, 3rd +17.21s, 4th +18.01s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #5184 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 4 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#5184shark
30/42 raw · elo 1705 · 133.985s
99.4% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
4/45 raw · elo 1598 · +16.45s
0.1% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
14/36 raw · elo 1512 · +17.21s
0.5% predicted
our 2nd pick
4th
0/38 raw · elo 1328 · +18.01s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#518499.4%
#211410.5%
#51850.1%
#51830.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/40431.