Scanner verdict

Race #39440

#29292 wins in 18.786s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark, top ELO 1868.
  • #29292 took it a 27% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +2.72s, 3rd +3.86s, 4th +4.47s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #29295 finished 2nd, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
16/60 raw · elo 1683 · 18.786s
1.7% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
#29295shark
29/60 raw · elo 1868 · +2.72s
98.0% predicted
our 1st pick
3rd
9/60 raw · elo 1574 · +3.86s
0.2% predicted
our 3rd pick
4th
6/60 raw · elo 1439 · +4.47s
0.0% predicted
our 5th pick
5th
3/60 raw · elo 1504 · +4.64s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick
6th
0/60 raw · elo 1386 · +4.89s
0.0% predicted
our 7th pick
7th
5/60 raw · elo 1573 · +4.94s
0.1% predicted
our 4th pick
8th
0/60 raw · elo 1334 · +6.20s
0.0% predicted
our 8th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2929598.0%
#292921.7%
#293020.2%
#293110.1%
#292900.0%
#293120.0%
#293000.0%
#293010.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/39440.