Scanner verdict

Race #34761

#29168 wins in 133.693s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark, top ELO 1644.
  • #29168 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +8.58s, 3rd +10.49s, 4th +17.72s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #29242 finished 2nd, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 4 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
20/60 raw · elo 1574 · 133.693s
25.1% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
#29242shark
24/57 raw · elo 1596 · +8.58s
68.1% predicted
our 1st pick
3rd
10/60 raw · elo 1644 · +10.49s
6.7% predicted
our 3rd pick
4th
1/60 raw · elo 1305 · +17.72s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2924268.1%
#2916825.1%
#292416.7%
#286810.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/34761.