Scanner verdict

Race #32052

#28777 wins in 128.382s.

  • Sharp field: 3 sharks, top ELO 1881.
  • #28777 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +13.20s, 3rd +17.55s, 4th +19.97s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #28777 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 6 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#28777shark
42/52 raw · elo 1881 · 128.382s
96.6% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
#17838shark
28/57 raw · elo 1797 · +13.20s
1.9% predicted
our 2nd pick
3rd
#28784shark
23/49 raw · elo 1836 · +17.55s
1.5% predicted
our 3rd pick
4th
6/42 raw · elo 1517 · +19.97s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick
5th
1/51 raw · elo 1501 · +23.36s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick
6th
11/54 raw · elo 1400 · +34.90s
0.0% predicted
our 5th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2877796.6%
#178381.9%
#287841.5%
#213500.0%
#287720.0%
#287830.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/32052.