Scanner verdict

Race #31999

#28763 wins in 104.519s.

  • Live field: 1 in form, top ELO 1722.
  • #28763 took it a 25% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +2.81s, 3rd +6.72s, 4th +13.53s.
  • Upset: our favorite #28913 finished 4th, the winner was our 3rd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

2400m Route · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
10/40 raw · elo 1602 · 104.519s
16.7% predicted
our 3rd pick
2nd
10/39 raw · elo 1638 · +2.81s
20.8% predicted
our 2nd pick
3rd
4/40 raw · elo 1489 · +6.72s
1.3% predicted
our 7th pick
4th
#28913in form
12/40 raw · elo 1722 · +13.53s
50.3% predicted
our 1st pick
5th
4/38 raw · elo 1547 · +15.81s
2.4% predicted
our 5th pick
6th
1/40 raw · elo 1486 · +18.20s
0.5% predicted
our 8th pick
7th
9/40 raw · elo 1534 · +20.82s
6.1% predicted
our 4th pick
8th
5/38 raw · elo 1518 · +23.32s
1.9% predicted
our 6th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2891350.3%
#2904020.8%
#2876316.7%
#288726.1%
#291402.4%
#288961.9%
#287521.3%
#289200.5%

Served by /api/v1/race/31999.