Scanner verdict

Race #31875

#28835 wins in 132.381s.

  • Sharp field: 3 sharks and 1 in form, top ELO 1881.
  • #28835 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +9.17s, 3rd +10.59s, 4th +11.31s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #28777 finished 2nd, the winner was our 3rd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 6 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#28835in form
21/57 raw · elo 1848 · 132.381s
0.6% predicted
our 3rd pick
2nd
#28777shark
42/52 raw · elo 1881 · +9.17s
89.1% predicted
our 1st pick
3rd
#28731shark
34/50 raw · elo 1847 · +10.59s
10.0% predicted
our 2nd pick
4th
#29121shark
11/18 raw · elo 1699 · +11.31s
0.2% predicted
our 4th pick
5th
13/46 raw · elo 1687 · +12.05s
0.1% predicted
our 5th pick
6th
17/60 raw · elo 1646 · +16.95s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2877789.1%
#2873110.0%
#288350.6%
#291210.2%
#168720.1%
#286040.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/31875.