Scanner verdict

Race #31690

#27977 wins in 130.737s.

  • Sharp field: 3 sharks, top ELO 1777.
  • #27977 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +8.94s, 3rd +11.18s, 4th +20.32s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #28931 finished 5th, the winner was our 3rd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 6 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#27977shark
19/40 raw · elo 1724 · 130.737s
10.9% predicted
our 3rd pick
2nd
13/50 raw · elo 1556 · +8.94s
0.4% predicted
our 4th pick
3rd
6/45 raw · elo 1633 · +11.18s
0.2% predicted
our 5th pick
4th
5/59 raw · elo 1605 · +20.32s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick
5th
#28931shark
26/40 raw · elo 1777 · +27.01s
50.1% predicted
our 1st pick
6th
#28516shark
28/50 raw · elo 1764 · +29.23s
38.5% predicted
our 2nd pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2893150.1%
#2851638.5%
#2797710.9%
#280900.4%
#59930.2%
#1750.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/31690.