Scanner verdict

Race #31406

#28592 wins in 133.657s.

  • Sharp field: 2 sharks and 1 in form, top ELO 1848.
  • #28592 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +1.54s, 3rd +1.70s, 4th +1.75s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #28195 finished 3rd, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 6 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#28592shark
26/53 raw · elo 1710 · 133.657s
20.6% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
#28835in form
21/57 raw · elo 1848 · +1.54s
18.0% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
#28195shark
24/45 raw · elo 1807 · +1.70s
58.7% predicted
our 1st pick
4th
6/12 raw · elo 1592 · +1.75s
1.0% predicted
our 5th pick
5th
17/60 raw · elo 1646 · +8.87s
1.3% predicted
our 4th pick
6th
19/58 raw · elo 1461 · +33.63s
0.3% predicted
our 6th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2819558.7%
#2859220.6%
#2883518.0%
#286041.3%
#290981.0%
#58360.3%

Served by /api/v1/race/31406.