Scanner verdict

Race #28279

#28261 wins in 133.506s.

  • Sharp field: 3 sharks, top ELO 1923.
  • #28261 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.83s, 3rd +3.70s, 4th +10.65s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #28402 finished 2nd, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 6 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#28261shark
30/60 raw · elo 1923 · 133.506s
27.4% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
#28402shark
32/51 raw · elo 1890 · +0.83s
65.7% predicted
our 1st pick
3rd
#28123shark
25/53 raw · elo 1866 · +3.70s
6.9% predicted
our 3rd pick
4th
0/42 raw · elo 1495 · +10.65s
0.0% predicted
our 5th pick
5th
1/45 raw · elo 1563 · +12.74s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick
6th
2/42 raw · elo 1419 · +29.38s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2840265.7%
#2826127.4%
#281236.9%
#283370.0%
#283260.0%
#105130.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/28279.