Scanner verdict

Race #26587

#28495 wins in 19.028s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark, top ELO 1906.
  • #28495 took it as the field's shark.
  • Margins: 2nd +3.01s, 3rd +3.32s, 4th +4.22s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #28495 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#28495shark
35/43 raw · elo 1906 · 19.028s
100.0% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
6/40 raw · elo 1632 · +3.01s
0.0% predicted
our 2nd pick
3rd
3/40 raw · elo 1622 · +3.32s
0.0% predicted
our 3rd pick
4th
2/40 raw · elo 1576 · +4.22s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick
5th
0/39 raw · elo 1411 · +4.23s
0.0% predicted
our 7th pick
6th
0/40 raw · elo 1431 · +4.40s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick
7th
1/35 raw · elo 1282 · +5.08s
0.0% predicted
our 8th pick
8th
3/40 raw · elo 1428 · +5.19s
0.0% predicted
our 5th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#28495100.0%
#284830.0%
#9950.0%
#72800.0%
#222710.0%
#11640.0%
#101180.0%
#77750.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/26587.