Scanner verdict

Race #26302

#28695 wins in 132.401s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark and 1 in form, top ELO 1859.
  • #28695 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +6.92s, 3rd +9.12s, 4th +10.19s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #28649 finished 5th, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#28695in form
13/41 raw · elo 1725 · 132.401s
0.7% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
1/21 raw · elo 1398 · +6.92s
0.0% predicted
our 5th pick
3rd
0/23 raw · elo 1472 · +9.12s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick
4th
0/35 raw · elo 1474 · +10.19s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick
5th
#28649shark
32/41 raw · elo 1859 · +12.02s
99.3% predicted
our 1st pick
6th
4/41 raw · elo 1619 · +13.29s
0.0% predicted
our 3rd pick
7th
0/40 raw · elo 1335 · +14.51s
0.0% predicted
our 8th pick
8th
0/18 raw · elo 1347 · +28.30s
0.0% predicted
our 7th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2864999.3%
#286950.7%
#286440.0%
#286970.0%
#286840.0%
#286480.0%
#287010.0%
#286460.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/26302.