Scanner verdict

Race #24477

#28453 wins in 50.939s.

  • Sharp field: 3 sharks, top ELO 1875.
  • #28453 took it as the field's shark.
  • Margins: 2nd +6.23s, 3rd +6.86s, 4th +7.44s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #28453 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

1200m Mile · 6 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#28453shark
28/45 raw · elo 1875 · 50.939s
79.8% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
#8857shark
22/52 raw · elo 1842 · +6.23s
7.0% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
#19926shark
32/60 raw · elo 1717 · +6.86s
13.2% predicted
our 2nd pick
4th
1/37 raw · elo 1551 · +7.44s
0.0% predicted
our 5th pick
5th
0/1 raw · elo 1491 · +8.17s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick
6th
1/18 raw · elo 1347 · +13.10s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2845379.8%
#1992613.2%
#88577.0%
#178360.0%
#40960.0%
#229960.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/24477.