Scanner verdict

Race #24397

#4565 wins in 50.072s.

  • Sharp field: 3 sharks, top ELO 1908.
  • #4565 took it as the field's shark.
  • Margins: 2nd +2.66s, 3rd +5.06s, 4th +8.88s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #4565 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

1200m Mile · 6 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#4565shark
32/42 raw · elo 1908 · 50.072s
98.8% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
#27292shark
8/12 raw · elo 1683 · +2.66s
0.5% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
#1839shark
23/49 raw · elo 1657 · +5.06s
0.7% predicted
our 2nd pick
4th
8/40 raw · elo 1515 · +8.88s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick
5th
0/8 raw · elo 1471 · +12.52s
0.0% predicted
our 5th pick
6th
1/38 raw · elo 1196 · +18.14s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#456598.8%
#18390.7%
#272920.5%
#32890.0%
#104800.0%
#17500.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/24397.