Scanner verdict

Race #19512

#2438 wins in 6.318s.

  • Sharp field: 3 sharks, top ELO 1800.
  • #2438 took it as the field's shark.
  • Margins: 2nd +2.02s, 3rd +2.31s, 4th +2.33s.
  • Upset: our favorite #20447 finished 3rd, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

200m · 6 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#2438shark
20/37 raw · elo 1788 · 6.318s
42.6% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
4/19 raw · elo 1596 · +2.02s
0.4% predicted
our 4th pick
3rd
#20447shark
21/39 raw · elo 1800 · +2.31s
49.6% predicted
our 1st pick
4th
1/11 raw · elo 1494 · +2.33s
0.1% predicted
our 5th pick
5th
#22353shark
22/60 raw · elo 1722 · +2.37s
7.3% predicted
our 3rd pick
6th
0/5 raw · elo 1490 · +4.04s
0.1% predicted
our 6th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2044749.6%
#243842.6%
#223537.3%
#79990.4%
#11760.1%
#770.1%

Served by /api/v1/race/19512.