Scanner verdict

Race #18846

#28123 wins in 6.628s.

  • Sharp field: 3 sharks, top ELO 1866.
  • #28123 took it as the field's shark.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.25s, 3rd +0.33s, 4th +1.10s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #5460 finished 3rd, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

200m · 4 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#28123shark
25/53 raw · elo 1866 · 6.628s
33.4% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
#28239shark
22/60 raw · elo 1841 · +0.25s
9.8% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
#5460shark
31/60 raw · elo 1852 · +0.33s
56.8% predicted
our 1st pick
4th
7/44 raw · elo 1531 · +1.10s
0.1% predicted
our 4th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#546056.8%
#2812333.4%
#282399.8%
#540.1%

Served by /api/v1/race/18846.