Scanner verdict

Race #18736

#4822 wins in 6.520s.

  • Sharp field: 2 sharks, top ELO 1948.
  • #4822 took it as the field's shark.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.67s, 3rd +1.45s, 4th +2.96s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #4822 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

200m · 4 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#4822shark
44/59 raw · elo 1948 · 6.520s
99.7% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
#24524shark
14/28 raw · elo 1658 · +0.67s
0.3% predicted
our 2nd pick
3rd
12/44 raw · elo 1619 · +1.45s
0.0% predicted
our 3rd pick
4th
2/9 raw · elo 1433 · +2.96s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#482299.7%
#245240.3%
#282310.0%
#107980.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/18736.