Scanner verdict

Race #18502

#9470 wins in 5.474s.

  • Sharp field: 2 sharks, top ELO 1780.
  • #9470 took it as the field's shark.
  • Margins: 2nd +1.89s, 3rd +2.38s, 4th +4.30s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #9470 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

200m · 4 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#9470shark
18/31 raw · elo 1777 · 5.474s
78.6% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
#19024shark
22/60 raw · elo 1780 · +1.89s
21.2% predicted
our 2nd pick
3rd
0/26 raw · elo 1441 · +2.38s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick
4th
6/43 raw · elo 1426 · +4.30s
0.1% predicted
our 3rd pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#947078.6%
#1902421.2%
#281660.1%
#270520.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/18502.