Scanner verdict

Race #17732

#28186 wins in 19.002s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark and 1 in form, top ELO 1726.
  • #28186 took it as the class of the field.
  • Margins: 2nd +3.48s, 3rd +3.58s, 4th +5.52s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #14567 finished 4th, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

500m Sprint · 4 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#28186in form
12/41 raw · elo 1726 · 19.002s
34.3% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
8/19 raw · elo 1623 · +3.48s
18.6% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
3/46 raw · elo 1419 · +3.58s
0.2% predicted
our 4th pick
4th
#14567shark
20/41 raw · elo 1510 · +5.52s
46.9% predicted
our 1st pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#1456746.9%
#2818634.3%
#832418.6%
#20310.2%

Served by /api/v1/race/17732.