Scanner verdict

Race #1432

#16849 wins in 30.972s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark, top ELO 1952.
  • #16849 took it a 18% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.52s, 3rd +0.94s, 4th +1.06s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #571 finished 6th, the winner was our 5th pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

700m · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
9/51 raw · elo 1504 · 30.972s
0.0% predicted
our 5th pick
2nd
1/54 raw · elo 1541 · +0.52s
0.0% predicted
our 8th pick
3rd
4/19 raw · elo 1596 · +0.94s
0.0% predicted
our 3rd pick
4th
10/51 raw · elo 1487 · +1.06s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick
5th
3/53 raw · elo 1637 · +1.07s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick
6th
#571shark
41/55 raw · elo 1952 · +1.20s
99.9% predicted
our 1st pick
7th
9/54 raw · elo 1657 · +1.32s
0.0% predicted
our 2nd pick
8th
2/55 raw · elo 1608 · +1.56s
0.0% predicted
our 7th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#57199.9%
#2730.0%
#79990.0%
#155260.0%
#168490.0%
#275610.0%
#5700.0%
#16610.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/1432.